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17/11/2024

Methane Emissions From Tropical Wetlands: A Growing Threat To Global Climate Goals




Methane Emissions From Tropical Wetlands: A Growing Threat To Global Climate Goals
Tropical wetlands, long known for their ability to absorb vast amounts of carbon, are now emerging as a major contributor to methane emissions, significantly complicating global efforts to tackle climate change. Recent research has highlighted an alarming surge in methane from these regions, which has gone largely unaccounted for in previous emissions models and national climate plans. This new challenge could force governments worldwide to implement even more stringent measures to reduce emissions from fossil fuel extraction and agricultural activities, in an effort to meet climate goals.
 
Wetlands are a critical part of the Earth's carbon cycle, storing large amounts of carbon in decaying plant matter. This carbon is slowly broken down by microorganisms in the soil, a process that naturally releases gases like methane—a potent greenhouse gas. However, rising global temperatures are accelerating this process. As the planet warms, higher temperatures intensify the microbial activity that produces methane, while increased rainfall and flooding caused by climate change expand the wetlands, further boosting emissions.
 
While scientists have long predicted that methane emissions from wetlands would rise with global warming, recent data paints a much more concerning picture. Between 2020 and 2022, atmospheric methane concentrations reached their highest levels since reliable measurements began in the 1980s, with a particularly sharp increase from tropical wetlands. According to a study by Stanford University's Rob Jackson, who leads the Global Methane Budget group, methane concentrations are now rising faster than at any point in the last five years. This surge has sparked concern, as these levels were not fully accounted for in national emissions inventories or scientific models. Jackson noted, “Methane concentrations are not just rising, but rising faster in the last five years than any time in the instrument record.”
 
The surge in methane emissions from tropical wetlands is attributed to the combined effects of higher temperatures and changing precipitation patterns, exacerbated by climate phenomena like La Niña. Satellite data and atmospheric studies have revealed that tropical regions, including parts of the Congo Basin, Southeast Asia, and the Amazon, are contributing significantly to the global methane spike. Researchers have found that tropical wetlands have released more than 7 million tonnes of methane in recent years, with the Congo, Southeast Asia, and southern Brazil being the primary contributors.
 
One key study published in *Nature Climate Change* in March 2023 highlighted how annual wetland emissions in the tropics have exceeded scientists' projections by approximately 500,000 tonnes per year, based on worst-case climate scenarios. The rising emissions present a formidable challenge for governments trying to meet international climate commitments, especially the goal set under the Paris Agreement to limit global warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. If wetland methane emissions continue to rise at this rate, scientists warn that the world will need to implement even more drastic measures to curb greenhouse gas emissions from sectors like agriculture and fossil fuel industries.
 
Methane, while a short-lived gas compared to carbon dioxide, is far more potent in the short term. Over a 20-year period, methane is about 80 times more effective at trapping heat in the atmosphere than CO2, and it accounts for roughly one-third of the 1.3°C rise in global temperatures since 1850. Despite its short lifespan—methane typically breaks down in about a decade—its immediate impact on global warming is significant. This makes the current increase in methane emissions from wetlands particularly concerning, as it compounds the already existing challenge of reducing fossil fuel-related emissions.
 
The role of La Niña in the recent methane surge has been a subject of much debate among climate scientists. La Niña, a periodic climate pattern that typically brings heavier rainfall to parts of the tropics, is believed to have contributed to the increased methane emissions by expanding wetlands. However, La Niña alone cannot account for the record-breaking emissions observed in recent years. According to Drew Shindell, a climate scientist at Duke University, while La Niña played a role in the increased emissions, it is not the sole factor. Shindell emphasized, "La Niña alone, which ended in 2023, cannot explain record-high emissions," further stressing the urgency of addressing the broader issue of wetland methane emissions.
 
The surge in methane emissions from wetlands has serious implications for climate policy and the strategies governments are using to tackle climate change. For many countries, this development means they will need to take even more ambitious action to reduce methane emissions from fossil fuel extraction, agriculture, and land use. In fact, according to atmospheric chemist Zhen Qu from North Carolina State University, the rise in wetland methane emissions will significantly impact how countries plan for methane and carbon dioxide reductions in the coming years. "If wetland methane emissions continue to rise, governments will need to step up their efforts to hold warming at 1.5°C, as agreed under the Paris Climate Accord," Qu noted.
 
In the face of these mounting challenges, several countries are stepping up efforts to reduce methane emissions from various sources. The United States, for example, has recently finalized a methane fee for large oil and gas producers. However, this policy could face significant changes under the incoming administration of Donald Trump, who has expressed support for scaling back climate regulations. Similarly, China has announced plans to curb methane flaring—burning off methane at oil and gas wells—but progress remains slow.
 
In Africa, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has emerged as a hotspot for methane emissions, particularly from its vast wetland areas in the Congo Basin. Eve Bazaiba, the DRC's environment minister, has acknowledged the need for more research to assess and monitor methane emissions from these wetlands. During the U.N. Climate Summit (COP29), Bazaiba told Reuters, "We don't know how much methane is coming off our wetlands. That's why we bring in those who can invest in this way, also to do the monitoring to do the inventory, how much we have, how we can also exploit them."
 
The Congo Basin, which houses one of the world’s largest tropical wetland ecosystems, is increasingly recognized as a key area for global climate action. However, the complexities of accurately measuring and managing methane emissions in these regions highlight the difficulties governments face in addressing this issue. Scientists are still working to develop better tools and technologies for detecting and mitigating methane emissions from wetlands, but progress has been slow.
 
One of the most significant challenges in addressing wetland methane emissions is the lack of comprehensive monitoring and the difficulty of capturing emissions with current technologies. Even though satellite-based detection of methane plumes has improved significantly in recent years, scientists are still struggling to accurately measure and address emissions from wetlands. Given the rapid growth in methane concentrations, researchers like Shindell urge global leaders to take stronger action. "We should probably be a bit more worried than we are," Shindell said, stressing the need for urgent attention to this issue.
 
While the surge in methane emissions from tropical wetlands presents a significant challenge, it also offers an opportunity to re-evaluate and refine global climate policies. Governments must act swiftly to incorporate these emissions into their climate models and plans for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. As the world grapples with the realities of a warming planet, addressing methane emissions from wetlands will be crucial in meeting the ambitious climate targets set by the international community.
 
(Source:www.reuters.com) 

Christopher J. Mitchell

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