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21/08/2024

Target’s Strategic Price Cuts Drive Strong Sales Growth Amid Economic Pressures




Target’s Strategic Price Cuts Drive Strong Sales Growth Amid Economic Pressures
Target Corporation has reported a significant turnaround in its financial performance, fueled by strategic price cuts and a focus on value-driven offerings that attracted more shoppers during a time of rising grocery prices and economic uncertainty. The Minneapolis-based retailer raised its full-year profit forecast on Wednesday and reported its first quarterly increase in comparable sales in over a year, signaling a positive shift in consumer behavior toward the brand.
 
The company’s shares surged by 16%, reaching a near four-month high of $167.40, marking its best day in over nine months. Target now anticipates 2024 profits in the range of $9.00 to $9.70 per share, an increase from its previous estimate of $8.60 to $9.60. This optimism is rooted in the company’s second-quarter performance, where comparable sales—encompassing both online and in-store sales over the past 12 months—rose by 2%, exceeding analysts’ expectations of a 1.15% increase.
 
Target’s success this quarter was largely driven by increased traffic, as customers responded positively to price reductions on thousands of essential items. These cuts were strategically implemented to appeal to consumers grappling with rising grocery prices and higher interest rates. Analysts noted that while U.S. consumers are feeling financial pressure, they are still spending, albeit more selectively. "The consumer is feeling nervous and pinched, and that will weigh on overall spending, but consumers still have plenty of purchasing power. They're just being picky about where they spend," said Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management.
 
Amid this economic backdrop, Target has distinguished itself by focusing on affordability and essential goods, a strategy that has paid off as Americans prioritize spending on groceries and everyday necessities. This shift in consumer behavior has led to a decrease in discretionary spending on categories such as apparel, electronics, and home goods, which are traditionally strong for Target.
 
To combat more than a year of declining sales, Target implemented price cuts on over 5,000 popular items, including bread, soda, paper towels, and pet food. Additionally, the company introduced a new private-label basics line, dealworthy, in February, with most of its 400 items priced under $10. Target also expanded its Good & Gather and Favorite Day brands by adding 125 new food products, further appealing to cost-conscious shoppers.
 
"When your budget's getting squeezed, that works in Target's favor and probably hurts Macy's and Nordstrom, but it helps Target because they are providing a low-cost alternative," commented Bill Smead, chief investment officer of Smead Capital Management, which holds Target shares worth over $170 million.
 
The retailer also leveraged its Circle Week sales event in July, which focused on back-to-school products, driving an 8.7% increase in online sales for the quarter. Target’s CEO, Brian Cornell, highlighted the importance of "newness," price cuts, and sales events in driving a 3% increase in visits to its nearly 2,000 stores—a significant improvement from the 1.9% traffic decline in the previous quarter.
 
"They are among the few retailers with Walmart and Costco ... that have been getting positive traffic to the stores and traffic is ultimately what you want because that really does translate into better sales," said Joseph Feldman, an analyst at Telsey Advisory Group.
 
Target’s upbeat report, along with Walmart’s recent upward revision of its annual sales and profit forecasts, suggests that U.S. consumer spending remains resilient ahead of the Federal Reserve's anticipated rate cuts in September. The U.S. retail sales data for July also exceeded expectations, easing concerns of an impending recession despite indications of a weakening job market.
 
"We see an incredibly resilient consumer in the face of high inflation and some of the other challenges they've been facing to manage their household budgets," Cornell stated during a media call.
 
While Target maintained its full-year comparable sales forecast of a flat to 2% increase, it acknowledged that growth is likely to be skewed toward the lower end of that range. Analysts polled by LSEG predicted a modest 0.36% rise. Christopher Horvers, an analyst at J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, noted, "The guide overall seems prudent not per se conservative."
 
In the second quarter, Target reported net and adjusted earnings of $2.57 per share, surpassing the average analyst expectation of $2.18 per share. The company’s gross margin rate improved to 28.9%, up from 27% last year, partly due to better inventory management and increased revenue from its advertising unit, Roundel.
 
(Source:www.invesitng.com)

Christopher J. Mitchell

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